Volume 37, Number C1, February 2002ECORAD 2001: The Radioecology - Ecotoxicology of Continental and Estuatine Environments
|Page(s)||C1-881 - C1-885|
|Published online||25 March 2010|
A probabilistic approach to environmental impact assessment of a radioactive contamination
The Swedish Radiation Protection Institute, 17116 Stockholm, Sweden
Since a radiological environmental impact assessment typically relies on limited data and poorly based extrapolation methods, point estimations, as implied by a deterministic approach, do not suffice. To be of practical use for risk management, it is necessary to quantify the uncertainty margins of the estimates as well. In this paper we discuss how to work out a probabilistic approach for dealing with uncertainties in assessments of the radiological risks to non-human biota of a radioactive contamination. Possible strategies for deriving the relevant probability distribution junctions from available empirical data and theoretical knowledge are outlined.
© EDP Sciences, 2002
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